Microsoft Excel makes it pretty easy for you to build a stock market Monte Carlo simulation spreadsheet. No, sorry, this spreadsheet won’t let you … [Read more...] about Stock Market Monte Carlo Simulation Spreadsheet
Search Results for: retirement plan b
Myth of the Long Run Stock Market Return Chart
Last week, I blogged about the unreliability of long run stock market returns. And to provide an angle, I talked about and around the long run stock … [Read more...] about Myth of the Long Run Stock Market Return Chart
Unreliability of Long Run Stock Market Returns
A myth about long run stock market returns exists. A powerful, but maybe dangerous, myth. That myth goes like this: Over the long run, because … [Read more...] about Unreliability of Long Run Stock Market Returns
Bogleheads Investment Philosophy Flaws: Problems with a Popular Approach
This week's blog post discusses five flaws I see in the Bogleheads investment philosophy. Two are pretty significant, I think. The other three … [Read more...] about Bogleheads Investment Philosophy Flaws: Problems with a Popular Approach
Portfolio Leverage Modeling with cFIREsim and FIRECalc
I’m slightly hesitant to talk about modeling portfolio leverage. The topic, in terms of personal safety, sort of resembles a discussion about how to … [Read more...] about Portfolio Leverage Modeling with cFIREsim and FIRECalc
Financially Independent Retired Early: Flaws with Philosophy?
Okay, an important first stipulation. I totally understand the allure of the financially independent retired early strategy. Further, I totally … [Read more...] about Financially Independent Retired Early: Flaws with Philosophy?
Backdoor Roth IRAs Really a Smart Idea?
Maybe the last ten individual tax returns I’ve signed? They all included a backdoor Roth IRA. That got me thinking: How much tax do you really save … [Read more...] about Backdoor Roth IRAs Really a Smart Idea?
Monte Carlo Safe Withdrawal Rates for Low Expected Returns
I read Antti Ilmanen’s book recently, “Investing Amid Low Expected Returns.” Ilmanen, like many other observers, expects low real returns from stocks, … [Read more...] about Monte Carlo Safe Withdrawal Rates for Low Expected Returns
Monte Carlo Simulations Show How Bonds Dampen Investment Risk
Figuring out how much bonds dampen investment risk? Sometimes tricky. You hear people offer bromides. Like "bonds provide ballast." Or "bonds … [Read more...] about Monte Carlo Simulations Show How Bonds Dampen Investment Risk
A CPA Explains Moore v. United States
I want to talk about the Moore v. United States tax case. The U.S. Supreme Court hears oral arguments this week. And to date, the media coverage of … [Read more...] about A CPA Explains Moore v. United States